2024 Pittsburgh Steelers Super Bowl odds, with conference, division and win total best bets (2024)

The Pittsburgh Steelers somehow managed to win 10 games and qualify for the postseason in 2023, as coach Mike Tomlin continues to make the most of his personnel. The guy is just a proven winner, and his track record shows why the Steelers should never be underestimated, regardless of how bleak the preseason outlook might be.

The Steelers certainly made headlines in the offseason. Pittsburgh acquired veteran QB Russell Wilson, and it also added QB Justin Fields, as the Kenny Pickett experiment is now over. Wilson is a Super Bowl winner looking to prove his past 2 seasons in Denver were a fluke. Fields is a guy with plenty of upside, who hopes a change of scenery, and better coaching, will get him to the pinnacle.

If anything, the Steelers are going to be interesting. The quarterback play is the best since QB Ben Roethlisberger retired in January 2022. Can this team surprise again in 2024?

Below, we look at the Pittsburgh Steelers’ 2024 NFL Super Bowl odds from FanDuel Sportsbookalong with projected win total, playoff, conference and division odds as we make our best NFL picks and predictions.

2024 Pittsburgh Steelers schedule

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Steelers over/under win total

Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook – last updated May 20 at 9:56 p.m. ET; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.

• 7.5 wins: (Over: -184 | Under: +148)

According to the Sharp Football Analysis, which based its calculations off the Vegas Forecasted Win Totals, the Steelers have the most difficult schedule in the NFL. Their implied line of 8.6 wins is well below the projections by the sportsbooks, however, so there is some value.

Last season, the win total for the Steelers was 8.5, and they exceeded that with 10 victories. Tomlin just has a knack for getting the most out of his teams, and it’s quite uncanny at this point.

Tomlin has never finished below .500 as an NFL head coach, leading the Steelers to the playoffs in 11 of his 17 seasons. That’s a record that is unlikely to be broken, and all but seals his inclusion to the hallow halls in Canton. The team has had a winning record in 14 of his 17 campaigns, with 3 finishes at 8-8, or .500, most recently in 2019.

Even if you were to bet against Tomlin, and estimate an 8-9 result, based on the difficulty of the schedule, you would still cash OVER 7.5 (-184). You’ll have to pay through the nose, and it might not necessarily be a great idea tying up a lot of money while risking nearly 2 times your return. But do you really think Tomlin will have double-digit losses? It’s literally never happened.

Steelers Super Bowl odds

• +5000 (bet $100 to win $5,000)

The Steelers are a little bit of a hodgepodge at this point. Wilson and Fields could make this offense very good, and at the very least, it should be better than it was in the hands of Pickett and/or Mason Rudolph.

WR George Pickens is a legitimate downfield threat who barely scratched the surface of his potential in 2023. Big things are still yet to come. RB Jaylen Warren was a surprise, and he and RB Najee Harris give Tomlin a couple of hard-nosed backs. Versatile veteran RB/KR Cordarrelle Patterson gives the running backs room a boost, and he adds value to the special teams, too.

On defense, LB Patrick Queen comes over from the rival Baltimore Ravens to bolster the linebackers. SS DeShon Elliott is a nice addition to the back end, too, as is CB Donte Jackson, acquired from the Carolina Panthers.

While all of those moves are nice, and the Steelers will be a pain for every week in and week out, there are no superstars. This isn’t a roster one looks at and says, ‘Yes, this is Super Bowl caliber’.

Pittsburgh is tied with the Los Angeles Chargers for the 13th-shortest odds to win it all. The San Francisco 49ers (+550) are the favorites, followed by the Kansas City Chiefs (+600) and Baltimore Ravens (+950).

At +5000, Pittsburgh has an implied probability of winning the Super Bowl of just 1.96% or 50/1 fractional odds.

The Carolina Panthers have the longest odds in the NFL at +30000, while the New England Patriots have the longest odds in the AFC at +18000.

Again, the Steelers will be pesky. They always are. There are no free lunches when facing a Tomlin-coached squad. But while this team has playoff potential, it isn’t a legitimate Super Bowl team, or anything close it.

AVOID.

Will Steelers make the playoffs?

• Yes +164 | No -205

As usual, Tomlin did more with less in 2023. This season, he has not one, but two, legit NFL signal callers, and a much, much better situation than the one he had entering last season.

Somehow, even when things looked bleak late in the season at 7-7, the team rattled off 3 straight wins to not only record a double-digit win total, but find its way into the postseason.

Are the Steelers better than the Baltimore Ravens, Buffalo Bills, Miami Dolphins or Kansas City Chiefs? Probably not. In fact, it’s a firm no. But the Steelers will be battling the division rival Cincinnati Bengals and Cleveland Browns, as well as the Los Angeles Chargers, New York Jets and others to make the playoffs.

At plus-money, STEELERS (+164) is an attractive play. They cashed at plus-money in 2023, defying the odds to secure one of the 7 AFC postseason spots. Don’t be surprised if Wilson and/or Fields leads this team to the tournament yet again.

Odds to win AFC North Division

• Ravens +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
• Bengals +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
• Browns +500 (bet $100 to win $500)
• Steelers +650 (bet $100 to win $650)

Pittsburgh’s implied probability of winning the AFC North is 13.33% or 13/2 fractional odds. The Ravens are the favorites to win the division, with the Bengals listed as a close second, with the Browns and Steelers expected to fight for the crumbs.

However, perhaps no team in the past decade has punched above its weight more than the 2023 Steelers. Tomlin did an amazing job to get his team to the postseason. However, they were 3 games behind the Ravens for the division title, and the sportsbooks project Pittsburgh to finish in last in the ultra-competitive AFC North.

For a chance to multiply up by 6 1/2 times, it’s rather tempting to risk a little on the Steelers. But it’s a good idea to PASS, and look for value elsewhere.

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Steelers odds to win AFC

• +700 (bet $100 to win $700)

Again, the Steelers aren’t really a Super Bowl contender. While this team certainly has the potential to be a major pain to their division rivals, while potentially getting into the playoffs with a low seed, this isn’t a legit championship contender.

Of course, if anybody can go to the Super Bowl as a low playoff seed, the Steelers can. Remember, Pittsburgh won Super Bowl XL as the No. 6 seed, besting the Seattle Seahawks in 2005 for its 5th Lombardi Trophy.

However, it’s a good idea to AVOID. The Steelers are in a division which saw all 4 teams finish with winning records. While Wilson and Fields are good, they’re each stepping into a new system. The team also moved WR Diontae Johnson in that Jackson deal with Carolina, so the receivers room is a little light, too.

Again, playoffs, yes. Super Bowl? Unlikely.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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